Combat Edge Intelligence

Mario Filipe de Sousa vs Mike Shipman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-4-1Record16-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height5'10"
45,0"Reach73.5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Caes do RingueTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mario Filipe de SousaNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Mike ShipmanNow 1687
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.82
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
28%
Strike defense
TBD
0.52
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
38%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.52
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mario Filipe de SousaMike Shipman
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (74%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
4 (21%)
Submission
5 (31%)
1 (5%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Filipe de Sousa56%
Mike Shipman 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Filipe de Sousa a 56% favorite over Mike Shipman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Shipman's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1687), separated by just 2 points.

Mario Filipe de Sousa enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Mario Filipe de Sousa finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Mike Shipman 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.