Mario Piazzon vs Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Mario Piazzon60%
Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Piazzon a 60% favorite over Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.
Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Mario Piazzon finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Seyedmostafa Salehizadeh 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"HeightTBD
73"Reach-
265 lbsWeight258 lbs
Galpao da Luta· 1674 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mario PiazzonSeyedmostafa Salehizadeh