Mariya Agapova vs Maryna Moroz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record11-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA Science AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1630
If they lose-15→ 1598
If they win+15→ 1642
If they lose-17→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mariya AgapovaMaryna Moroz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maryna Moroz52%
Mariya Agapova 48%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Maryna Moroz a 52% favorite over Mariya Agapova in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1627), separated by just 14 points.
Mariya Agapova enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Maryna Moroz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mariya Agapova finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Maryna Moroz 64%.
Mariya Agapova and Maryna Moroz share 1 common opponent: Sabina Mazo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.