Mariya Agapova vs Sabina Mazo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record10-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA Science AcademyTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
Sabina Mazo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mariya Agapova carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1630
If they lose-15→ 1598
If they win+15→ 1645
If they lose-17→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mariya AgapovaSabina Mazo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sabina Mazo60%
Mariya Agapova 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Sabina Mazo a 60% favorite over Mariya Agapova in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Sabina Mazo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1613, a 17-point edge.
Mariya Agapova enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mariya Agapova finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Sabina Mazo 30%.
Mariya Agapova and Sabina Mazo share 2 common opponents: Maryna Moroz and Shana Dobson.
Sabina Mazo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.