Mark Choinski vs Ray Hayes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
N/AReach-
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamArsenal Elite
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark ChoinskiRay Hayes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ray Hayes63%
Mark Choinski 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ray Hayes a 63% favorite over Mark Choinski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.
Ray Hayes enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mark Choinski finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ray Hayes 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.