Mark Choinski vs Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
N/AReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Roufusport· 1687 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamBrazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mark ChoinskiVinicius Sacchelli Cenci
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci56%
Mark Choinski 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci a 56% favorite over Mark Choinski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Choinski's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1639), separated by just 0 points.
Mark Choinski finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.