Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Climaco vs Tim Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record21-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
TBDReach66"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark ClimacoNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Tim ElliottNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.51
60%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
58%
Strike defense
56%
3.50
Takedown avg.
3.61
37%
Takedown accuracy
25%
47%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Mark ClimacoTim Elliott
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
1 (10%)
Submission
8 (38%)
7 (70%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Climaco60%
Tim Elliott 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Climaco a 60% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.

Mark Climaco finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.