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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark De La Rosa vs Tim Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record22-14-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
38,0"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

Tim Elliott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mark De La Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mark De La RosaNow 1615
If they win+18→ 1633
If they lose-14→ 1601
Tim ElliottNow 1657
If they win+11→ 1668
If they lose-13→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.51
35%
Strike accuracy
43%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
49%
Strike defense
56%
0.54
Takedown avg.
3.61
14%
Takedown accuracy
25%
40%
Takedown defense
59%
0.18
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Mark De La RosaTim Elliott
160016501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
6 (55%)
Submission
8 (36%)
4 (36%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark De La Rosa57%
Tim Elliott 43%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark De La Rosa a 57% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Elliott's way (44%).

Tim Elliott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1615, a 42-point edge.

Mark De La Rosa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mark De La Rosa finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 50%.

Mark De La Rosa and Tim Elliott share 1 common opponent: Jordan Espinosa.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Jordan Espinosa
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021