Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark De La Rosa vs Tim Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record21-14-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
38,0"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

Tim Elliott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mark De La Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mark De La RosaNow 1615
If they win+17→ 1632
If they lose-15→ 1600
Tim ElliottNow 1644
If they win+11→ 1655
If they lose-13→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
35%
Strike accuracy
45%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.65
49%
Strike defense
58%
0.54
Takedown avg.
3.71
14%
Takedown accuracy
48%
40%
Takedown defense
59%
0.18
Submission avg.
1.12

Trajectory

Mark De La RosaTim Elliott
160016501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
6 (55%)
Submission
8 (38%)
4 (36%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Elliott60%
Mark De La Rosa 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Elliott a 60% favorite over Mark De La Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Tim Elliott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1615, a 29-point edge.

Mark De La Rosa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mark De La Rosa finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.

Mark De La Rosa and Tim Elliott share 1 common opponent: Jordan Espinosa.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Jordan Espinosa
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021