Mark Madsen vs Vinc Pichel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Rumble SportsTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Mark Madsen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Vinc Pichel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1711
If they lose-18→ 1679
If they win+18→ 1668
If they lose-14→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mark MadsenVinc Pichel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Madsen73%
Vinc Pichel 27%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Madsen a 73% favorite over Vinc Pichel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Mark Madsen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1650, a 47-point edge.
Mark Madsen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mark Madsen finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.
Mark Madsen and Vinc Pichel share 1 common opponent: Austin Hubbard.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.