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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mark Vologdin vs Takeya Mizugaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-5-2Record23-14-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
65"Reach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamHakkei Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mark VologdinNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Takeya MizugakiNow 1621
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.93
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
47%
Strike accuracy
37%
10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
41%
Strike defense
58%
0.50
Takedown avg.
1.46
14%
Takedown accuracy
58%
57%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Mark VologdinTakeya Mizugaki
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
4 (33%)
Submission
1 (4%)
2 (17%)
Decision
17 (74%)

Combat Edge model read

Takeya Mizugaki51%
Mark Vologdin 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Takeya Mizugaki a 51% favorite over Mark Vologdin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Vologdin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1621), separated by just 2 points.

Mark Vologdin finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Takeya Mizugaki 26%.

Takeya Mizugaki carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.