Marlon Moraes vs Renat Ondar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-1Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
American Top TeamTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1733 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marlon MoraesRenat Ondar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Moraes51%
Renat Ondar 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Moraes a 51% favorite over Renat Ondar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renat Ondar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Marlon Moraes enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Marlon Moraes finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Renat Ondar 31%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.