Marlon Vera vs Naoki Inoue
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-12-1Record21-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Team Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1757 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marlon VeraNaoki Inoue
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Vera63%
Naoki Inoue 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 63% favorite over Naoki Inoue in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Naoki Inoue's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1726), separated by just 2 points.
Marlon Vera finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Naoki Inoue 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.