Marlon Vera vs Ning Guangyou
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-12-1Record5-4-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'5"
70"Reach64.00
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Marlon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Ning Guangyou carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1729
If they lose-19→ 1705
If they win+38→ 1521
If they lose-10→ 1473
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1757 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marlon VeraNing Guangyou
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Vera93%
Ning Guangyou 7%Elo baseline: 80%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 93% favorite over Ning Guangyou in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).
Marlon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1483, a 241-point edge.
Ning Guangyou enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marlon Vera finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Ning Guangyou 80%.
Marlon Vera carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.