Combat Edge Intelligence

Marlon Vera vs Ning Guangyou

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marlon Vera
ec

Marlon Vera

“Chito”

23-12-1BantamweightUFC

1710Good

Tale of the tape

23-12-1Record5-4-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'5"
70"Reach64.00
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team OyamaTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

Marlon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Ning Guangyou carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marlon VeraNow 1710
If they win+5→ 1715
If they lose-19→ 1691
Ning GuangyouNow 1483
If they win+38→ 1521
If they lose-10→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1749 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.66
48%
Strike accuracy
42%
5.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.91
50%
Strike defense
61%
0.47
Takedown avg.
1.09
39%
Takedown accuracy
50%
72%
Takedown defense
63%
0.76
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Marlon VeraNing Guangyou
150016001700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (35%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
10 (43%)
Submission
1 (20%)
5 (22%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Marlon Vera87%
Ning Guangyou 13%Elo baseline: 79%

The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 87% favorite over Ning Guangyou in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).

Marlon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1483, a 227-point edge.

Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ning Guangyou enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marlon Vera finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ning Guangyou 80%.

Marlon Vera carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.