Marlon Vera vs Nohelin Hernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-12-1Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"Reach71,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team OyamaTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Marlon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Nohelin Hernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1694
If they win+21→ 1611
If they lose-11→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1749 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marlon VeraNohelin Hernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Vera70%
Nohelin Hernandez 30%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 70% favorite over Nohelin Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Marlon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1590, a 120-point edge.
Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marlon Vera finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Nohelin Hernandez 25%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.