Combat Edge Intelligence

Marlon Vera vs Rinya Nakamura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marlon Vera
ec

Marlon Vera

“Chito”

23-12-1BantamweightUFC

1710Good

Tale of the tape

23-12-1Record10-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team OyamaTeamFreelance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marlon VeraNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698
Rinya NakamuraNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1749 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.53
48%
Strike accuracy
55%
5.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.38
50%
Strike defense
67%
0.47
Takedown avg.
3.72
39%
Takedown accuracy
90%
72%
Takedown defense
100%
0.76
Submission avg.
1.65

Trajectory

Marlon VeraRinya Nakamura
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (35%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
10 (43%)
Submission
1 (10%)
5 (22%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marlon Vera and Rinya Nakamura within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1710), separated by just 0 points.

Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marlon Vera finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rinya Nakamura 70%.

Marlon Vera carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.