Marlon Vera vs Rinya Nakamura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-12-1Record10-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team Oyama· 1645 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamFreelance· 1605 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1749 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marlon VeraRinya Nakamura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rinya Nakamura57%
Marlon Vera 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rinya Nakamura a 57% favorite over Marlon Vera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1711), separated by just 1 points.
Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marlon Vera finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rinya Nakamura 70%.
Marlon Vera carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.