Marlon Vera vs Sean O'Malley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-12-1Record20-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70"Reach72″
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Sean O'Malley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marlon Vera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1739
If they lose-9→ 1715
If they win+12→ 1827
If they lose-20→ 1795
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1757 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marlon VeraSean O'Malley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean O'Malley71%
Marlon Vera 29%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean O'Malley a 71% favorite over Marlon Vera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Sean O'Malley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1815 to 1724, a 91-point edge.
Sean O'Malley enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marlon Vera finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Malley 70%.
Marlon Vera and Sean O'Malley share 1 common opponent: Aiemann Zahabi.
Sean O'Malley carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.