MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-1Record18-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
69"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Factory XTeamPedro Bessa BJJ
What's at stake
Mason Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — MarQuel Mederos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1732
If they lose-15→ 1700
If they win+15→ 1749
If they lose-17→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
MarQuel MederosMason Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mason Jones58%
MarQuel Mederos 42%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 58% favorite over MarQuel Mederos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Mason Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1715, a 19-point edge.
MarQuel Mederos finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Mason Jones 61%.
Mason Jones carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.