Combat Edge Intelligence

Martin Buday vs Uran Satybaldiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record9-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
77"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Spartakus Fight Gym· 1653 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamUluu Kyrgyz Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Martin BudayNow 1700
If they win+15→ 1715
If they lose-17→ 1683
Uran SatybaldievNow 1686
If they win+17→ 1703
If they lose-15→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
53%
Strike accuracy
25%
4.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
56%
Strike defense
45%
0.15
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
0%
93%
Takedown defense
50%
0.15
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Martin BudayUran Satybaldiev
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
2 (13%)
Submission
2 (22%)
7 (44%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Buday59%
Uran Satybaldiev 41%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 59% favorite over Uran Satybaldiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1686), separated by just 14 points.

Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Martin Buday finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Uran Satybaldiev 78%.

Uran Satybaldiev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.