Marvin Vettori vs Omari Akhmedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-10-1Record24-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Omari Akhmedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marvin Vettori carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1701
If they lose-11→ 1677
If they win+11→ 1726
If they lose-13→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marvin VettoriOmari Akhmedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marvin Vettori61%
Omari Akhmedov 39%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 61% favorite over Omari Akhmedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Omari Akhmedov's way (46%).
Omari Akhmedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1688, a 27-point edge.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marvin Vettori finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Omari Akhmedov 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.