Combat Edge Intelligence

Marvin Vettori vs Trevor Prangley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marvin Vettori
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Marvin Vettori

“The Italian Dream”

19-10-1MiddleweightUFC

1688Good

Tale of the tape

19-10-1Record34-11-2
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marvin VettoriNow 1688
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
Trevor PrangleyNow 1686
If they win+12→ 1698
If they lose-12→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.74
Sig. strikes / min
2.17
46%
Strike accuracy
59%
4.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
56%
Strike defense
49%
1.41
Takedown avg.
4.11
44%
Takedown accuracy
64%
69%
Takedown defense
74%
0.39
Submission avg.
1.17

Trajectory

Marvin VettoriTrevor Prangley
1650170017502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
9 (26%)
9 (47%)
Submission
13 (38%)
8 (42%)
Decision
12 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Marvin Vettori72%
Trevor Prangley 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 72% favorite over Trevor Prangley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1686), separated by just 2 points.

Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marvin Vettori finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Prangley 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.