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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marwan Rahiki vs Ollie Schmid

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ollie Schmid
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Ollie Schmid

“Ollie / The Hungarian Stallion”

4-3-0FeatherweightUFC

1535Average

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record4-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lions Den AcademyTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

Marwan Rahiki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ollie Schmid carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marwan RahikiNow 1688
If they win+9→ 1697
If they lose-23→ 1665
Ollie SchmidNow 1535
If they win+34→ 1569
If they lose-14→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.75
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
53%
Strike accuracy
30%
5.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.90
58%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0.75
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marwan RahikiOllie Schmid
150016001700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
1 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Marwan Rahiki76%
Ollie Schmid 24%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Marwan Rahiki a 76% favorite over Ollie Schmid in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Marwan Rahiki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1535, a 153-point edge.

Marwan Rahiki finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ollie Schmid 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.