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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marwan Rahiki vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record39-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
72"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lions Den AcademyTeamChina Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marwan RahikiNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.75
Sig. strikes / min
1.95
53%
Strike accuracy
46%
5.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
58%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
3.30
0%
Takedown accuracy
35%
100%
Takedown defense
29%
0.75
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Marwan RahikiShayilan Nuerdanbieke
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
19 (49%)
1 (11%)
Submission
10 (26%)
0 (0%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marwan Rahiki and Shayilan Nuerdanbieke within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1687), separated by just 1 points.

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marwan Rahiki finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 74%.

Marwan Rahiki carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.