Maryna Moroz vs Valerie Letourneau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record10-7-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach68,0"
125 lbsWeight116 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Maryna Moroz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Valerie Letourneau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1641
If they lose-18→ 1609
If they win+18→ 1600
If they lose-14→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Maryna MorozValerie Letourneau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maryna Moroz70%
Valerie Letourneau 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Maryna Moroz a 70% favorite over Valerie Letourneau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Maryna Moroz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1582, a 45-point edge.
Maryna Moroz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Maryna Moroz finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Valerie Letourneau 50%.
Maryna Moroz and Valerie Letourneau share 1 common opponent: Joanne Wood.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.