Masachika Takahashi vs Naohiro Matsumoto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record8-7-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Brave· 1585 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKenshinkai
What's at stake
Masachika Takahashi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Naohiro Matsumoto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1589
If they lose-26→ 1541
If they win+18→ 1551
If they lose-14→ 1519
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Masachika TakahashiNaohiro Matsumoto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Masachika Takahashi67%
Naohiro Matsumoto 33%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Masachika Takahashi a 67% favorite over Naohiro Matsumoto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Masachika Takahashi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1567 to 1533, a 34-point edge.
Masachika Takahashi enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Naohiro Matsumoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Masachika Takahashi finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Naohiro Matsumoto 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.