Mason Jones vs Mike Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'0"
74"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pedro Bessa BJJTeamFusion X-Cel
What's at stake
Mason Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mike Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1758
If they lose-19→ 1726
If they win+19→ 1696
If they lose-13→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mason JonesMike Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mason Jones79%
Mike Davis 21%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 79% favorite over Mike Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Mason Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1677, a 68-point edge.
Mason Jones enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Mason Jones finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Mike Davis 83%.
Mason Jones carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.