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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mason Jones vs Nurullo Aliev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mason Jones
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Mason Jones

“The Dragon”

18-3-0LightweightUFC

1734Good

Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record12-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mason JonesNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Nurullo AlievNow 1735
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.98
Sig. strikes / min
2.29
43%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.59
51%
Strike defense
55%
3.48
Takedown avg.
3.48
29%
Takedown accuracy
10%
74%
Takedown defense
80%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.46

Trajectory

Mason JonesNurullo Aliev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
3 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (39%)
Decision
10 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

Mason Jones53%
Nurullo Aliev 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 53% favorite over Nurullo Aliev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nurullo Aliev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1735), separated by just 1 points.

Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Mason Jones finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Nurullo Aliev 17%.

Mason Jones carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.