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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mason Jones vs Piero Guaylupo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mason Jones
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Mason Jones

“The Dragon”

18-3-0LightweightUFC

1734Good

Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record13-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"Reach68"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mason JonesNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Piero GuaylupoNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.98
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
3.48
Takedown avg.
Not available
29%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
74%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.17
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mason JonesPiero Guaylupo
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
3 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (39%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Mason Jones61%
Piero Guaylupo 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 61% favorite over Piero Guaylupo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1733), separated by just 1 points.

Piero Guaylupo enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Mason Jones finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Piero Guaylupo 85%.

Mason Jones carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.