Mateus Soares vs Ryuho Miyaguchi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record7-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'10"
66.5"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Mateus Soares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ryuho Miyaguchi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1678
If they lose-18→ 1646
If they win+27→ 1649
If they lose-21→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mateus SoaresRyuho Miyaguchi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mateus Soares52%
Ryuho Miyaguchi 48%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Mateus Soares a 52% favorite over Ryuho Miyaguchi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Mateus Soares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1622, a 42-point edge.
Mateus Soares enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mateus Soares finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Ryuho Miyaguchi 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.