Ryuho Miyaguchi vs Mateus Soares

DateOct 6, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Tuesday, October 6, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Tue 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Tue 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Wed 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Wed 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Wed 10:00 AM
Your time

Ryuho Miyaguchi7-1-0Ryuho Miyaguchi vs Mateus SoaresMateus SoaresI'm Ready |11-2-0

Ryuho Miyaguchi7-1-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

7-1-0Record11-2-0

28AgeTBD

5'10"Height5'4"

-Reach66.5"

135 lbsWeight135 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Mateus SoaresI'm Ready11-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Mateus Soares owns a 42-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Ryuho Miyaguchi and Mateus Soares across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Ryuho MiyaguchiMateus Soares

Recent form

Ryuho MiyaguchiL W W W W · +43 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Mateus SoaresW W W W L · +13 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Elo edge

Ryuho Miyaguchi1622-32 last move

Mateus Soares1664+11 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

44%Ryuho Miyaguchi56%Mateus Soares

Model favoriteMateus Soares

Elo baseline56% for Mateus Soares

Matchup adjustment0 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Mateus SoaresStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Mateus Soares leads the full model at 56%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model keeps the same probability.

Current Elo ratings1622 · 1664Mateus Soares leads by 42 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1511 · 1519Mateus Soares faced the stronger recent schedule (8 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth8 · 13 fightsMateus Soares has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Ryuho MiyaguchivsMateus Soares

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Ryuho MiyaguchiKO/TKO leads 86% of wins

Mateus SoaresKO/TKO leads 82% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Ryuho MiyaguchiMateus Soares

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.70

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.76

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

6Wins by knockout9

0Wins by submission1

1Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision1

Ryuho Miyaguchi vs Mateus Soares is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 9. Ryuho Miyaguchi enters with a 7-1-0 record and Mateus Soares enters with a 11-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.