Mateusz Gamrot vs Max Holloway
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-5-0Record28-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGracie Technics
What's at stake
Max Holloway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mateusz Gamrot carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1827
If they lose-11→ 1803
If they win+11→ 1841
If they lose-13→ 1817
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1752 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1791 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mateusz GamrotMax Holloway
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Holloway56%
Mateusz Gamrot 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Holloway a 56% favorite over Mateusz Gamrot in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Max Holloway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1814, a 16-point edge.
Mateusz Gamrot finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Max Holloway 54%.
Mateusz Gamrot and Max Holloway share 1 common opponent: Charles Oliveira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.