Mateusz Rębecki vs Rongzhu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-5-0Record28-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
66"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724
If they win+12→ 1752
If they lose-12→ 1728
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mateusz RębeckiRongzhu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rongzhu61%
Mateusz Rębecki 39%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Rongzhu a 61% favorite over Mateusz Rębecki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1740), separated by just 4 points.
Rongzhu enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mateusz Rębecki finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 81%.
Rongzhu carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.