Matheus Nicolau vs Namsrai Batbayar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-5-1Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
66"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamOne Team Fighting Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matheus NicolauNamsrai Batbayar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Nicolau51%
Namsrai Batbayar 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Nicolau a 51% favorite over Namsrai Batbayar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Namsrai Batbayar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1666), separated by just 3 points.
Matheus Nicolau enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matheus Nicolau finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Namsrai Batbayar 100%.
Namsrai Batbayar carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.