Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Adams vs Mitchell Sipe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Matt Adams
us

Matt Adams

“Bad”

6-3-0HeavyweightOCL

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record5-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
263 lbsWeight253 lbs
Raw MMATeamWorld Crown Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matt AdamsNow 1560
If they win+23→ 1583
If they lose-25→ 1535
Mitchell SipeNow 1552
If they win+25→ 1577
If they lose-23→ 1529

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.50
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.98
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.53
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Matt AdamsMitchell Sipe
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Adams62%
Mitchell Sipe 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Adams a 62% favorite over Mitchell Sipe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1552), separated by just 8 points.

Matt Adams finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mitchell Sipe 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.