Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Adams vs Terrance Chatman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Adams
us

Matt Adams

“Bad”

6-3-0HeavyweightOCL

1558Solid

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record5-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
75"Reach76"
263 lbsWeight266 lbs
Raw MMATeam4oz. Fight Club· 1654 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matt AdamsNow 1558
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
Terrance ChatmanNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Matt AdamsTerrance Chatman
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Terrance Chatman56%
Matt Adams 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Terrance Chatman a 56% favorite over Matt Adams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1564), separated by just 6 points.

Matt Adams finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Terrance Chatman 80%.

Matt Adams and Terrance Chatman share 1 common opponent: Anthony Wint.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2026
Anthony Wint
LossSubmission · 2026