Matt Brown vs Mike Pyle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-19-0Record27-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Immortal Fight TeamTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Mike Pyle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Matt Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1638
If they lose-10→ 1614
If they win+10→ 1684
If they lose-14→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt BrownMike Pyle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Matt Brown and Mike Pyle within a point of even.
Mike Pyle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1624, a 50-point edge.
Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matt Brown finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pyle 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.