Matt Brown vs Pete Sell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-19-0Record10-7-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight179 lbs
Immortal Fight TeamTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Matt Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Pete Sell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1617
If they lose-14→ 1593
If they win+18→ 1578
If they lose-14→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt BrownPete Sell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Brown57%
Pete Sell 43%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Brown a 57% favorite over Pete Sell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Matt Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1607 to 1560, a 47-point edge.
Matt Brown finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Pete Sell 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.