Matt Schnell vs Sumudaerji
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record20-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fortis MMATeamEnbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Sumudaerji is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Matt Schnell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1628
If they lose-9→ 1604
If they win+9→ 1698
If they lose-15→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matt SchnellSumudaerji
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sumudaerji60%
Matt Schnell 40%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Sumudaerji a 60% favorite over Matt Schnell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Sumudaerji holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1689 to 1613, a 76-point edge.
Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sumudaerji enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Matt Schnell finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Sumudaerji 70%.
Sumudaerji carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.