Combat Edge Intelligence

Matteo Martignoni vs Shoji Maruyama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record18-18-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight141 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1581 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKIBA Martial Arts Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matteo MartignoniNow 1515
If they win+24→ 1539
If they lose-24→ 1491
Shoji MaruyamaNow 1509
If they win+12→ 1521
If they lose-12→ 1497

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Matteo MartignoniShoji Maruyama
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
13 (72%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Shoji Maruyama53%
Matteo Martignoni 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Shoji Maruyama a 53% favorite over Matteo Martignoni in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matteo Martignoni's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1515 vs 1509), separated by just 6 points.

Matteo Martignoni finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shoji Maruyama 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.