Matteo Martignoni vs Toby Misech
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record12-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1582 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamJesus Is Lord
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1539
If they lose-24→ 1491
If they win+16→ 1532
If they lose-16→ 1500
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matteo MartignoniToby Misech
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Toby Misech59%
Matteo Martignoni 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Toby Misech a 59% favorite over Matteo Martignoni in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1515 vs 1516), separated by just 1 points.
Toby Misech enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Matteo Martignoni finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Toby Misech 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.