Combat Edge Intelligence

Matthew O'Rourke vs Trevor Makengo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
-Height6'3"
-Reach-
205 lbsWeight239 lbs
Team Ryano WaterfordTeamC-MAC

What's at stake

Trevor Makengo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Matthew O'Rourke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matthew O'RourkeNow 1471
If they win+28→ 1499
If they lose-20→ 1451
Trevor MakengoNow 1531
If they win+20→ 1551
If they lose-28→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Matthew O'RourkeTrevor Makengo
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Makengo61%
Matthew O'Rourke 39%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Makengo a 61% favorite over Matthew O'Rourke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Trevor Makengo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1471, a 60-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.