Matthew Semelsberger vs Uros Medic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-8-0Record14-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Clinch AcademyTeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Uros Medic is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Matthew Semelsberger carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1618
If they lose-10→ 1586
If they win+10→ 1739
If they lose-22→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matthew SemelsbergerUros Medic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Uros Medic75%
Matthew Semelsberger 25%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Uros Medic a 75% favorite over Matthew Semelsberger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Uros Medic holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1596, a 133-point edge.
Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Uros Medic enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Matthew Semelsberger finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Uros Medic 100%.
Matthew Semelsberger carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.