Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record23-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
75"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Mauricio Ruffy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michael Chandler carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1762
If they lose-17→ 1730
If they win+13→ 1745
If they lose-11→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1772 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mauricio RuffyMichael Chandler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mauricio Ruffy and Michael Chandler within a point of even.
Mauricio Ruffy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1732, a 15-point edge.
Mauricio Ruffy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Michael Chandler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mauricio Ruffy finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chandler 78%.
Mauricio Ruffy carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.