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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record23-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
75"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1704 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mauricio RuffyNow 1732
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716
Michael ChandlerNow 1730
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-12→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1693 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1772 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
4.04
57%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.52
59%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
1.96
0%
Takedown accuracy
41%
87%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Mauricio RuffyMichael Chandler
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (93%)
KO/TKO
11 (48%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (30%)
1 (7%)
Decision
5 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Mauricio Ruffy52%
Michael Chandler 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mauricio Ruffy a 52% favorite over Michael Chandler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1730), separated by just 2 points.

Michael Chandler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mauricio Ruffy finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chandler 78%.

Mauricio Ruffy carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.