Max Grishin vs Philipe Lins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-10-0Record18-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'7"Height6'1"
TBDReach78"
258 lbsWeight205 lbs
Strela TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Philipe Lins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Max Grishin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+33→ 1573
If they lose-15→ 1525
If they win+10→ 1693
If they lose-22→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1654 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Max GrishinPhilipe Lins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Philipe Lins72%
Max Grishin 28%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Philipe Lins a 72% favorite over Max Grishin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Philipe Lins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1540, a 143-point edge.
Max Grishin finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Philipe Lins 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.