Combat Edge Intelligence

Maximus Kashket vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
-Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Maximus KashketNow 1640
If they win+24→ 1664
If they lose-24→ 1616
Zhalgas ZhumagulovNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.24
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
19%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Maximus KashketZhalgas Zhumagulov
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
1 (17%)
Submission
1 (5%)
2 (33%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Maximus Kashket79%
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maximus Kashket a 79% favorite over Zhalgas Zhumagulov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zhalgas Zhumagulov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1643), separated by just 3 points.

Maximus Kashket enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Maximus Kashket finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.