Maycee Barber vs Roxanne Modafferi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record25-20-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
65"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Maycee Barber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Roxanne Modafferi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1731
If they lose-23→ 1699
If they win+17→ 1576
If they lose-7→ 1552
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Maycee BarberRoxanne Modafferi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maycee Barber92%
Roxanne Modafferi 8%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Maycee Barber a 92% favorite over Roxanne Modafferi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Maycee Barber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1559, a 163-point edge.
Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Maycee Barber finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Roxanne Modafferi 36%.
Maycee Barber and Roxanne Modafferi share 1 common opponent: Andrea Lee.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.