Mayra Bueno Silva vs Raquel Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-1Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAltitude MMA
What's at stake
Raquel Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mayra Bueno Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1623
If they lose-13→ 1591
If they win+13→ 1688
If they lose-19→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mayra Bueno SilvaRaquel Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raquel Pennington58%
Mayra Bueno Silva 42%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Raquel Pennington a 58% favorite over Mayra Bueno Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Raquel Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1604, a 71-point edge.
Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Mayra Bueno Silva finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.
Mayra Bueno Silva and Raquel Pennington share 2 common opponents: Macy Chiasson and Holly Holm.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.