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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mayton Perea vs Zach Scroggin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight183 lbs
DC Team MachalaTeamMarathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mayton PereaNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Zach ScrogginNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
Not available
Strike accuracy
38%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.80
Not available
Strike defense
69%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mayton PereaZach Scroggin
150015501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
3 (33%)
Submission
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Mayton Perea54%
Zach Scroggin 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mayton Perea a 54% favorite over Zach Scroggin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zach Scroggin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1623), separated by just 2 points.

Mayton Perea enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Mayton Perea finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zach Scroggin 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.