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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato Junior

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record20-14-1
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight161 lbs

What's at stake

Mehdi Zeidvand is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +16 while a loss costs more — Nonato Junior carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mehdi ZeidvandNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-32→ 1640
Nonato JuniorNow 1544
If they win+16→ 1560
If they lose-8→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Mehdi ZeidvandNonato Junior
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
0 (0%)
Submission
17 (85%)
3 (38%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Mehdi Zeidvand66%
Nonato Junior 34%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Mehdi Zeidvand a 66% favorite over Nonato Junior in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Mehdi Zeidvand holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1544, a 128-point edge.

Mehdi Zeidvand enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Mehdi Zeidvand finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Nonato Junior 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.