Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-0-0Record20-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight161 lbs
TristarTeamGameness Fight Club
What's at stake
Mehdi Zeidvand is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Nonato Junior carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1664
If they lose-30→ 1616
If they win+15→ 1565
If they lose-9→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1490 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mehdi ZeidvandNonato Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mehdi Zeidvand53%
Nonato Junior 47%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Mehdi Zeidvand a 53% favorite over Nonato Junior in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Mehdi Zeidvand holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1550, a 96-point edge.
Mehdi Zeidvand enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Mehdi Zeidvand finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Nonato Junior 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.