SAMOURAI MMA 21 : DUFORT VS CHAPUT

Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato Junior

EventSAMOURAI MMA 21 : DUFORT VS CHAPUT
DateSep 4, 2026
DivisionLightweight
StatusScheduled
VenueColisee De Laval
BroadcastUFC FIGHT PASS
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, September 4, 2026 — watch on UFC FIGHT PASS.

US East (ET)
Fri 7:00 PM
US West (PT)
Fri 4:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sat 12:00 AM
Central Europe
Sat 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Sat 9:00 AM

Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato Junior is a scheduled Lightweight fight on SAMOURAI MMA 21 : DUFORT VS CHAPUT. Mehdi Zeidvand enters with a 7-0-0 record and Nonato Junior enters with a 20-13-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato Junior quick answers

When is Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato Junior?

Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato Junior is listed for SAMOURAI MMA 21 : DUFORT VS CHAPUT on Sep 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST.

What event is Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato Junior on?

Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato Junior is listed on SAMOURAI MMA 21 : DUFORT VS CHAPUT.

What are the records for Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato Junior?

Mehdi Zeidvand enters with a 7-0-0 record and Nonato Junior enters with a 20-13-1 record.

What division is Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato Junior?

Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato Junior is listed as a Lightweight fight.

Mehdi Zeidvand7-0-0Mehdi Zeidvand vs Nonato JuniorNonato JuniorShaolin |20-13-1
caMehdi Zeidvand7-0-0Mehdi Zeidvandca

Fight Overview

RoundTBD
TimeTBD
7-0-0Record20-13-1
TBDAge32
TBDHeight5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight161 lbs
LightweightWeight ClassLightweight
brNonato JuniorShaolin20-13-1brNonato Junior
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Mehdi Zeidvand owns a 96-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Mehdi Zeidvand and Nonato Junior across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Mehdi ZeidvandNonato Junior
15001550160016502023202420252026

Recent form

Mehdi ZeidvandW W W W W · +90 Elo last 5
WWWWW
Nonato JuniorW L L W L · -11 Elo last 5
WLLWL

Elo edge

Mehdi Zeidvand1646+17 last move
Nonato Junior1550+18 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
60%Mehdi Zeidvand40%Nonato Junior
Model favoriteMehdi Zeidvand
Elo baseline63% for Mehdi Zeidvand
Matchup adjustment-3 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Mehdi Zeidvand leads the full model at 60%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 3 points.

Current Elo ratings1646 · 1550Mehdi Zeidvand leads by 96 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1490 · 1577Nonato Junior faced the stronger recent schedule (7 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth7 · 29 fightsNonato Junior has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Mehdi ZeidvandvsNonato Junior

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Mehdi ZeidvandKO/TKO leads 57% of wins
Nonato Juniorsubmission leads 85% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Mehdi ZeidvandNonato Junior
0Sig. strikes landed per min0
UFC featherweight average : 3.97
0Sig. strike accuracy0
UFC featherweight average : 47%
0Sig. strikes absorbed per min0
UFC featherweight average : 3.85
0Sig. strike defense0
UFC featherweight average : 54%
0Takedown average0
UFC featherweight average : 1.57
0Takedown accuracy0
UFC featherweight average : 31%
0Takedown defense0
UFC featherweight average : 55%
0Submission average0
UFC featherweight average : 0.62
4Wins by knockout1
0Wins by submission17
3Wins by decision2
0Losses by knockout7
0Losses by submission3
0Losses by decision3

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