Mehroj Mamadshoev vs Pavel Vitruk
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Mehroj Mamadshoev52%
Pavel Vitruk 48%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Mehroj Mamadshoev a 52% favorite over Pavel Vitruk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Mehroj Mamadshoev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1628, a 43-point edge.
Mehroj Mamadshoev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pavel Vitruk enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mehroj Mamadshoev finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Pavel Vitruk 32%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record19-10-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
6'0"Height5'5"
-Reach-
137 lbsWeight135 lbs
TeamRaty Team· 1674 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
Mehroj Mamadshoev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Pavel Vitruk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1685
If they lose-18→ 1653
If they win+13→ 1641
If they lose-11→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mehroj MamadshoevPavel Vitruk